Agent Strategy vs Bitcoin
Agent Strategy (ASTR) and Bitcoin (BTC) compared side by side. Over the past 1 year, BTC is ahead by 45.1 percentage points (ASTR -68.0% against BTC -23.0%). Their daily returns move closely together (correlation 0.63 across 399 shared trading days). ASTR has been the more volatile of the two, at 79% annualised against BTC's 44%.
Performance
| Period | ASTR | BTC | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 days | +5.71% | +4.06% | ASTR |
| 30 days | +30.86% | +8.51% | ASTR |
| 90 days | +51.86% | +40.18% | ASTR |
| 1 year | -68.04% | -22.95% | BTC |
Risk & extremes
| Metric | ASTR | BTC |
|---|---|---|
| Max drawdown (400d) | -84.2% | -53.0% |
| Risk-adjusted return (90d) | 0.81 | 1.02 |
| Best 30 days (past year) | +53.1% | +26.8% |
| Worst 30 days (past year) | -48.2% | -32.9% |
Relative strength over 90 days: ASTR outperformed BTC by 8.0% — measured on the ASTR/BTC ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.
Correlation
0.63over 399 shared trading days
7d: insufficient data30d: 0.1690d: 0.471y: 0.63
Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.