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AI Agent Layer vs OriginTrail

OriginTrail (TRAC) is 2810.6× the size of AI Agent Layer (AIFUN) by market capitalisation. Over the past 30 days, TRAC is ahead by 61.1 percentage points (AIFUN -53.3% against TRAC +7.8%). Their daily returns move barely in opposite directions (correlation -0.22 across 23 shared trading days). AIFUN has been the more volatile of the two, at 330% annualised against TRAC's 104%.

Correlation
-0.22
Size ratio
1 : 2810.6
Ahead over 30 days
TRAC
AI Agent LayerAIFUN

$0.000108

24h
—
Market cap
$52,070
Volume 24h
—
Volatility (ann.)
330%
OriginTrailTRAC

$0.327201

24h
-6.25%
Market cap
$146.35M
Volume 24h
$2.40M
Volatility (ann.)
104%
AIFUN 0.0%Share of the two combined market caps100.0% TRAC

Performance

AIFUNTRAC

  1. 7 days-3.56%-5.27%AIFUN
  2. 30 days-53.29%+7.85%TRAC

Correlation

-0.22over 23 shared trading days

−1 opposite0 unrelated+1 in step
7d: insufficient data30d: insufficient data90d: insufficient data1y: insufficient data

Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.

Risk & extremes

MetricAIFUNTRAC
Max drawdown (400d)-67.4%-22.2%
Risk-adjusted return (90d)-0.100.33

Relative strength over 90 days: TRAC outperformed AIFUN by 30.1% — measured on the AIFUN/TRAC ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.