Arweave (AR) is 213.9× the size of AR.IO Network (ARIO) by market capitalisation. Their daily returns move barely together (correlation 0.34 across 39 shared trading days). ARIO has been the more volatile of the two, at 151% annualised against AR's 119%.
ARIOAR
0.34over 39 shared trading days
Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.
| Metric | ARIO | AR |
|---|---|---|
| Max drawdown (400d) | -25.1% | -80.7% |
| Risk-adjusted return (90d) | 0.08 | 0.58 |
| Best 30 days (past year) | — | +124.8% |
| Worst 30 days (past year) | — | -53.3% |
Relative strength over 90 days: AR outperformed ARIO by 26.3% — measured on the ARIO/AR ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.