Bittensor (TAO) is 485606.6× the size of Arca OS (ARCA) by market capitalisation. Their daily returns move barely in opposite directions (correlation -0.18 across 41 shared trading days). ARCA has been the more volatile of the two, at 188% annualised against TAO's 96%.
ARCATAO
-0.18over 41 shared trading days
Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.
| Metric | ARCA | TAO |
|---|---|---|
| Max drawdown (400d) | -80.6% | -70.7% |
| Risk-adjusted return (90d) | -0.43 | 0.10 |
| Best 30 days (past year) | — | +104.1% |
| Worst 30 days (past year) | — | -48.1% |
Relative strength over 90 days: TAO outperformed ARCA by 72.7% — measured on the ARCA/TAO ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.