Bitcoin (BTC) is 41707.5× the size of ARCS (ARX) by market capitalisation. Their daily returns move barely in opposite directions (correlation -0.12 across 53 shared trading days). ARX has been the more volatile of the two, at 57% annualised against BTC's 44%.
ARXBTC
-0.12over 53 shared trading days
Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.
| Metric | ARX | BTC |
|---|---|---|
| Max drawdown (400d) | -20.9% | -53.0% |
| Risk-adjusted return (90d) | -0.23 | 0.51 |
| Best 30 days (past year) | — | +26.8% |
| Worst 30 days (past year) | — | -32.9% |
Relative strength over 90 days: BTC outperformed ARX by 12.1% — measured on the ARX/BTC ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.