AUGUR vs Rain

Rain (RAIN) is 855.7× the size of AUGUR (REPV2_YES_1) by market capitalisation. Over the past 30 days, REPV2_YES_1 is ahead by 48.2 percentage points (REPV2_YES_1 -10.1% against RAIN -58.2%). Their daily returns move barely together (correlation 0.30 across 32 shared trading days). RAIN has been the more volatile of the two, at 134% annualised against REPV2_YES_1's 71%.

Correlation: 0.30
Size ratio: 1 : 855.7
Ahead over 30 days: REPV2_YES_1

AUGURREPV2_YES_1

$0.749281

24h: -3.02%
Market cap: $4.90M
Volume 24h: $682
Volatility (ann.): 71%

RainRAIN

$0.005876

24h: -6.69%
Market cap: $4.20B
Volume 24h: $12.93M
Volatility (ann.): 134%

REPV2_YES_1 0.1%Share of the two combined market caps99.9% RAIN

Performance

REPV2_YES_1RAIN

7 days-2.50%-8.29%REPV2_YES_1
30 days-10.09%-58.25%REPV2_YES_1

Correlation

0.30over 32 shared trading days

−1 opposite0 unrelated+1 in step

7d: insufficient data30d: 0.3190d: insufficient data1y: insufficient data

Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.

Risk & extremes

Metric	REPV2_YES_1	RAIN
Max drawdown (400d)	-22.7%	-68.5%
Risk-adjusted return (90d)	-0.17	-0.37

Relative strength over 90 days: REPV2_YES_1 outperformed RAIN by 135.5% — measured on the REPV2_YES_1/RAIN ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.

AUGUR →Rain →