Bitcoin (BTC) is 884330.1× the size of BIRTHDAY (BIRTHDAY) by market capitalisation. Their daily returns move loosely together (correlation 0.46 across 24 shared trading days). BIRTHDAY has been the more volatile of the two, at 144% annualised against BTC's 44%.
BIRTHDAYBTC
0.46over 24 shared trading days
Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.
| Metric | BIRTHDAY | BTC |
|---|---|---|
| Max drawdown (400d) | -34.0% | -53.0% |
| Risk-adjusted return (90d) | -0.19 | 0.69 |
| Best 30 days (past year) | — | +26.8% |
| Worst 30 days (past year) | — | -32.9% |
Relative strength over 90 days: BTC outperformed BIRTHDAY by 23.9% — measured on the BIRTHDAY/BTC ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.