Bitcoin (BTC) is 93453464.7× the size of Circuit LLM (CIRC) by market capitalisation. Their daily returns move barely together (correlation 0.04 across 35 shared trading days). CIRC has been the more volatile of the two, at 880% annualised against BTC's 44%.
CIRCBTC
0.04over 35 shared trading days
Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.
| Metric | CIRC | BTC |
|---|---|---|
| Max drawdown (400d) | -77.0% | -53.0% |
| Risk-adjusted return (90d) | 0.07 | 0.63 |
| Best 30 days (past year) | — | +26.8% |
| Worst 30 days (past year) | — | -32.9% |
Relative strength over 90 days: CIRC outperformed BTC by 69.6% — measured on the CIRC/BTC ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.