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Convex Finance vs PancakeSwap

PancakeSwap (CAKE) is 3.6× the size of Convex Finance (CVX) by market capitalisation. Over the past 1 year, CVX is ahead by 9.6 percentage points (CVX +2.4% against CAKE -7.3%). Their daily returns move loosely together (correlation 0.55 across 399 shared trading days). CVX has been the more volatile of the two, at 104% annualised against CAKE's 80%.

Correlation
0.55
Size ratio
1 : 3.6
Ahead over 1 year
CVX
Convex FinanceCVX

$1.9390

24h
+4.02%
Market cap
$179.96M
Volume 24h
$7.92M
Volatility (ann.)
104%
PancakeSwapCAKE

$2.0030

24h
+7.50%
Market cap
$654.59M
Volume 24h
$59.92M
Volatility (ann.)
80%
CVX 21.6%Share of the two combined market caps78.4% CAKE

Performance

CVXCAKE

  1. 7 days-17.56%-4.68%CAKE
  2. 30 days-13.66%-18.17%CVX
  3. 90 days+28.49%+43.53%CAKE
  4. 1 year+2.36%-7.26%CVX

Correlation

0.55over 399 shared trading days

−1 opposite0 unrelated+1 in step
7d: insufficient data30d: 0.5890d: 0.421y: 0.50

Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.

Risk & extremes

MetricCVXCAKE
Max drawdown (400d)-71.5%-73.4%
Risk-adjusted return (90d)0.260.61
Best 30 days (past year)+88.3%+65.1%
Worst 30 days (past year)-37.0%-38.0%

Relative strength over 90 days: CAKE outperformed CVX by 10.5% — measured on the CVX/CAKE ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.