first reply vs Anonymous Cat

Anonymous Cat (ZCAT) is 522.4× the size of first reply (SIRIUS) by market capitalisation. Over the past 30 days, SIRIUS is ahead by 20.8 percentage points (SIRIUS -22.6% against ZCAT -43.4%). Their daily returns move barely together (correlation 0.11 across 33 shared trading days). ZCAT has been the more volatile of the two, at 290% annualised against SIRIUS's 50%.

Correlation: 0.11
Size ratio: 1 : 522.4
Ahead over 30 days: SIRIUS

first replySIRIUS

$4.782e-5

24h: —
Market cap: $46,159
Volume 24h: $6
Volatility (ann.): 50%

Anonymous CatZCAT

$0.024963

24h: -3.73%
Market cap: $24.11M
Volume 24h: $1.64M
Volatility (ann.): 290%

SIRIUS 0.2%Share of the two combined market caps99.8% ZCAT

Performance

SIRIUSZCAT

7 days-6.80%-47.53%SIRIUS
30 days-22.60%-43.37%SIRIUS

Correlation

0.11over 33 shared trading days

−1 opposite0 unrelated+1 in step

7d: insufficient data30d: 0.2090d: insufficient data1y: insufficient data

Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.

Risk & extremes

Metric	SIRIUS	ZCAT
Max drawdown (400d)	-28.7%	-67.3%
Risk-adjusted return (90d)	-0.46	-0.20

Relative strength over 90 days: SIRIUS outperformed ZCAT by 39.5% — measured on the SIRIUS/ZCAT ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.

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