first reply vs Toshi

Toshi (TOSHI) is 908.0× the size of first reply (SIRIUS) by market capitalisation. Over the past 30 days, TOSHI is ahead by 14.6 percentage points (SIRIUS -22.6% against TOSHI -8.0%). Their daily returns move barely together (correlation 0.28 across 20 shared trading days). TOSHI has been the more volatile of the two, at 82% annualised against SIRIUS's 50%.

Correlation: 0.28
Size ratio: 1 : 908.0
Ahead over 30 days: TOSHI

first replySIRIUS

$4.782e-5

24h: —
Market cap: $46,159
Volume 24h: $6
Volatility (ann.): 50%

ToshiTOSHI

$9.962e-5

24h: -5.06%
Market cap: $41.91M
Volume 24h: $2.72M
Volatility (ann.): 82%

SIRIUS 0.1%Share of the two combined market caps99.9% TOSHI

Performance

SIRIUSTOSHI

7 days-6.80%-4.43%TOSHI
30 days-22.60%-8.00%TOSHI

Correlation

0.28over 20 shared trading days

−1 opposite0 unrelated+1 in step

7d: insufficient data30d: insufficient data90d: insufficient data1y: insufficient data

Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.

Risk & extremes

Metric	SIRIUS	TOSHI
Max drawdown (400d)	-28.7%	-24.2%
Risk-adjusted return (90d)	-0.46	-0.08

Relative strength over 90 days: TOSHI outperformed SIRIUS by 12.5% — measured on the SIRIUS/TOSHI ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.

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