Flap Futures vs Lighter

Lighter (LIT) is 172191.4× the size of Flap Futures (FFX) by market capitalisation. Over the past 30 days, LIT is ahead by 8.6 percentage points (FFX -17.8% against LIT -9.2%). Their daily returns move barely together (correlation 0.31 across 25 shared trading days). LIT has been the more volatile of the two, at 117% annualised against FFX's 45%.

Correlation: 0.31
Size ratio: 1 : 172191.4
Ahead over 30 days: LIT

Flap FuturesFFX

$5.800e-6

24h: —
Market cap: $4,818
Volume 24h: —
Volatility (ann.): 45%

LighterLIT

$0.743000

24h: -5.40%
Market cap: $829.55M
Volume 24h: $128.16M
Volatility (ann.): 117%

FFX 0.0%Share of the two combined market caps100.0% LIT

Performance

FFXLIT

7 days-8.99%+24.19%LIT
30 days-17.82%-9.23%LIT

Correlation

0.31over 25 shared trading days

−1 opposite0 unrelated+1 in step

7d: insufficient data30d: 0.3190d: insufficient data1y: insufficient data

Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.

Risk & extremes

Metric	FFX	LIT
Max drawdown (400d)	-19.9%	-42.9%
Risk-adjusted return (90d)	-0.40	-0.25

Relative strength over 90 days: LIT outperformed FFX by 7.2% — measured on the FFX/LIT ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.

Flap Futures →Lighter →