Forecast AI vs OriginTrail

OriginTrail (TRAC) is 20139.2× the size of Forecast AI (FORAI) by market capitalisation. Over the past 30 days, TRAC is ahead by 55.9 percentage points (FORAI -54.5% against TRAC +1.4%). Their daily returns move barely together (correlation 0.14 across 24 shared trading days). FORAI has been the more volatile of the two, at 145% annualised against TRAC's 104%.

Correlation: 0.14
Size ratio: 1 : 20139.2
Ahead over 30 days: TRAC

Forecast AIFORAI

$7.740e-6

24h: -5.87%
Market cap: $7,745
Volume 24h: $347
Volatility (ann.): 145%

OriginTrailTRAC

$0.348730

24h: +0.30%
Market cap: $155.98M
Volume 24h: $1.42M
Volatility (ann.): 104%

FORAI 0.0%Share of the two combined market caps100.0% TRAC

Performance

FORAITRAC

7 days-5.25%-8.44%FORAI
30 days-54.52%+1.37%TRAC

Correlation

0.14over 24 shared trading days

−1 opposite0 unrelated+1 in step

7d: insufficient data30d: insufficient data90d: insufficient data1y: insufficient data

Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.

Risk & extremes

Metric	FORAI	TRAC
Max drawdown (400d)	-69.3%	-25.0%
Risk-adjusted return (90d)	-0.48	0.24

Relative strength over 90 days: TRAC outperformed FORAI by 32.0% — measured on the FORAI/TRAC ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.

Forecast AI →OriginTrail →