Ethereum (ETH) is 28754802.9× the size of GLOBAL MONEY SUPPLY (M2) by market capitalisation. Their daily returns move barely together (correlation 0.07 across 21 shared trading days). Both have run at a similar volatility, around 64% annualised.
M2ETH
0.07over 21 shared trading days
Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.
| Metric | M2 | ETH |
|---|---|---|
| Max drawdown (400d) | -33.1% | -66.5% |
| Risk-adjusted return (90d) | -0.48 | 0.50 |
| Best 30 days (past year) | — | +34.1% |
| Worst 30 days (past year) | — | -44.6% |
Relative strength over 90 days: ETH outperformed M2 by 18.5% — measured on the M2/ETH ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.