Bitcoin (BTC) is 203790060.2× the size of HODLBUIDL (HODLBD) by market capitalisation. Their daily returns move barely together (correlation 0.02 across 26 shared trading days). HODLBD has been the more volatile of the two, at 146% annualised against BTC's 44%.
HODLBDBTC
0.02over 26 shared trading days
Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.
| Metric | HODLBD | BTC |
|---|---|---|
| Max drawdown (400d) | -29.4% | -53.0% |
| Risk-adjusted return (90d) | -0.09 | 0.63 |
| Best 30 days (past year) | — | +26.8% |
| Worst 30 days (past year) | — | -32.9% |
Relative strength over 90 days: BTC outperformed HODLBD by 18.8% — measured on the HODLBD/BTC ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.