Nillion (NIL) is 2.6× the size of The Interfold (FOLD) by market capitalisation. Their daily returns move barely together (correlation 0.06 across 41 shared trading days). NIL has been the more volatile of the two, at 191% annualised against FOLD's 145%.
FOLDNIL
0.06over 41 shared trading days
Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.
| Metric | FOLD | NIL |
|---|---|---|
| Max drawdown (400d) | -56.9% | -92.3% |
| Risk-adjusted return (90d) | -0.36 | 0.44 |
| Best 30 days (past year) | — | +180.3% |
| Worst 30 days (past year) | — | -75.8% |
Relative strength over 90 days: NIL outperformed FOLD by 59.1% — measured on the FOLD/NIL ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.