M2 vs Bitcoin
M2 (M2) and Bitcoin (BTC) compared side by side. Their daily returns move barely in opposite directions (correlation -0.01 across 34 shared trading days). Both have run at a similar volatility, around 41% annualised.
- Correlation
- -0.01
M2 0.0%Share of the two combined market caps100.0% BTC
Performance
M2BTC
- 7 daysM2
- 30 daysBTC
- 90 days—
- 1 year—
Correlation
-0.01over 34 shared trading days
−1 opposite0 unrelated+1 in step
7d: insufficient data30d: -0.0690d: insufficient data1y: insufficient data
Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.
Risk & extremes
| Metric | M2 | BTC |
|---|---|---|
| Max drawdown (400d) | -21.5% | -53.0% |
| Risk-adjusted return (90d) | -0.52 | 0.51 |
| Best 30 days (past year) | — | +26.8% |
| Worst 30 days (past year) | — | -32.9% |
Relative strength over 90 days: BTC outperformed M2 by 12.9% — measured on the M2/BTC ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.