BTC$78,514.29▲ 2.50%ETH$2,325.52▲ 3.32%USDT$0.9988▲ 0.03%BNB$702.97▲ 1.54%XRP$1.28▲ 2.30%USDC$1.00▲ 0.01%SOL$93.40▲ 1.91%TRX$0.3224▲ 0.30%FIGR_HELOC$1.03▼ 0.19%ZEC$1,289.30▲ 14.48%HYPE$86.84▲ 3.87%XMR$118.70▲ 3.37%DOGE$0.0753▲ 2.27%USDS$1.00▲ 0.05%WBT$75.44▲ 2.62%LINK$11.20▲ 1.27%LEO$9.32▲ 0.59%ADA$0.1921▲ 3.34%XLM$0.1640▲ 1.96%BCH$276.70▲ 0.66%NEAR$4.06▲ 8.18%UNI$7.48▲ 7.03%DAI$1.0000▲ 0.01%USDE$1.00▲ 0.09%RAIN$0.006234▼ 3.99%LTC$54.71▲ 1.85%CC$0.0994▲ 6.25%AVAX$8.70▲ 4.17%SUI$0.9165▲ 6.31%USD1$0.9996▲ 0.07%GRAM$1.18▲ 2.01%XAUT$4,024.97▲ 3.30%HBAR$0.0709▲ 2.42%QNT$194.51▲ 0.32%USDG$1.00▲ 0.02%SHIB$0.000005▲ 3.54%TAO$230.60▲ 5.22%PYUSD$1.0000▲ 0.03%CRO$0.0513▲ 2.52%RLUSD$1.00▼ 0.01%BTC$78,514.29▲ 2.50%ETH$2,325.52▲ 3.32%USDT$0.9988▲ 0.03%BNB$702.97▲ 1.54%XRP$1.28▲ 2.30%USDC$1.00▲ 0.01%SOL$93.40▲ 1.91%TRX$0.3224▲ 0.30%FIGR_HELOC$1.03▼ 0.19%ZEC$1,289.30▲ 14.48%HYPE$86.84▲ 3.87%XMR$118.70▲ 3.37%DOGE$0.0753▲ 2.27%USDS$1.00▲ 0.05%WBT$75.44▲ 2.62%LINK$11.20▲ 1.27%LEO$9.32▲ 0.59%ADA$0.1921▲ 3.34%XLM$0.1640▲ 1.96%BCH$276.70▲ 0.66%NEAR$4.06▲ 8.18%UNI$7.48▲ 7.03%DAI$1.0000▲ 0.01%USDE$1.00▲ 0.09%RAIN$0.006234▼ 3.99%LTC$54.71▲ 1.85%CC$0.0994▲ 6.25%AVAX$8.70▲ 4.17%SUI$0.9165▲ 6.31%USD1$0.9996▲ 0.07%GRAM$1.18▲ 2.01%XAUT$4,024.97▲ 3.30%HBAR$0.0709▲ 2.42%QNT$194.51▲ 0.32%USDG$1.00▲ 0.02%SHIB$0.000005▲ 3.54%TAO$230.60▲ 5.22%PYUSD$1.0000▲ 0.03%CRO$0.0513▲ 2.52%RLUSD$1.00▼ 0.01%

MegaETH vs Arbitrum

Arbitrum (ARB) is 20.8× the size of MegaETH (MEGA) by market capitalisation. Their daily returns move loosely together (correlation 0.41 across 188 shared trading days). Both have run at a similar volatility, around 104% annualised.

Correlation
0.41
Size ratio
1 : 20.8
MegaETHMEGA

$0.048300

24h
+3.54%
Market cap
$53.55M
Volume 24h
$13.24M
Volatility (ann.)
106%
ArbitrumARB

$0.162300

24h
+6.00%
Market cap
$1.12B
Volume 24h
$113.12M
Volatility (ann.)
103%
MEGA 4.6%Share of the two combined market caps95.4% ARB

Performance

MEGAARB

  1. 7 days-8.38%-5.67%ARB
  2. 30 days-7.93%-22.59%MEGA
  3. 90 days+25.46%+96.52%ARB
  4. 1 year—-39.51%—

Correlation

0.41over 188 shared trading days

−1 opposite0 unrelated+1 in step
7d: insufficient data30d: 0.5390d: 0.461y: insufficient data

Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.

Risk & extremes

MetricMEGAARB
Max drawdown (400d)-81.3%-84.1%
Risk-adjusted return (90d)0.260.66
Best 30 days (past year)—+157.6%
Worst 30 days (past year)—-51.6%

Relative strength over 90 days: ARB outperformed MEGA by 36.2% — measured on the MEGA/ARB ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.