Moltbook vs OriginTrail

OriginTrail (TRAC) is 496.1× the size of Moltbook (MOLT) by market capitalisation. Over the past 30 days, TRAC is ahead by 9.4 percentage points (MOLT -1.5% against TRAC +7.8%). Their daily returns move loosely together (correlation 0.58 across 28 shared trading days). Both have run at a similar volatility, around 107% annualised.

Correlation: 0.58
Size ratio: 1 : 496.1
Ahead over 30 days: TRAC

MoltbookMOLT

$3.150e-6

24h: +8.86%
Market cap: $315,232
Volume 24h: $27,145
Volatility (ann.): 111%

OriginTrailTRAC

$0.349672

24h: +3.81%
Market cap: $156.40M
Volume 24h: $3.66M
Volatility (ann.): 104%

MOLT 0.2%Share of the two combined market caps99.8% TRAC

Performance

MOLTTRAC

7 days+2.03%-5.27%MOLT
30 days-1.55%+7.85%TRAC

Correlation

0.58over 28 shared trading days

−1 opposite0 unrelated+1 in step

7d: insufficient data30d: 0.5890d: insufficient data1y: insufficient data

Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.

Risk & extremes

Metric	MOLT	TRAC
Max drawdown (400d)	-36.5%	-22.2%
Risk-adjusted return (90d)	-0.05	0.33

Relative strength over 90 days: TRAC outperformed MOLT by 11.5% — measured on the MOLT/TRAC ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.

Moltbook →OriginTrail →