Momentum (MNTM) and Bitcoin (BTC) compared side by side. Their daily returns move barely in opposite directions (correlation -0.10 across 34 shared trading days). Both have run at a similar volatility, around 41% annualised.
MNTMBTC
-0.10over 34 shared trading days
Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.
| Metric | MNTM | BTC |
|---|---|---|
| Max drawdown (400d) | -28.5% | -53.0% |
| Risk-adjusted return (90d) | -0.68 | 0.51 |
| Best 30 days (past year) | — | +26.8% |
| Worst 30 days (past year) | — | -32.9% |
Relative strength over 90 days: BTC outperformed MNTM by 19.3% — measured on the MNTM/BTC ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.