Arweave (AR) is 1925.8× the size of Morphware (XMW) by market capitalisation. Their daily returns move barely together (correlation 0.11 across 34 shared trading days). AR has been the more volatile of the two, at 119% annualised against XMW's 50%.
XMWAR
0.11over 34 shared trading days
Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.
| Metric | XMW | AR |
|---|---|---|
| Max drawdown (400d) | -20.0% | -80.7% |
| Risk-adjusted return (90d) | -0.25 | 0.67 |
| Best 30 days (past year) | — | +124.8% |
| Worst 30 days (past year) | — | -53.3% |
Relative strength over 90 days: XMW outperformed AR by 13.5% — measured on the XMW/AR ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.