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Nillion vs Railgun

Railgun (RAIL) is 4.0× the size of Nillion (NIL) by market capitalisation. Their daily returns move closely together (correlation 0.65 across 57 shared trading days). Both have run at a similar volatility, around 179% annualised.

Correlation
0.65
Size ratio
1 : 4.0
NillionNIL

$0.064930

24h
+1.91%
Market cap
$34.67M
Volume 24h
$24.29M
Volatility (ann.)
191%
RailgunRAIL

$2.3100

24h
+6.27%
Market cap
$138.76M
Volume 24h
$84,577
Volatility (ann.)
167%
NIL 20.0%Share of the two combined market caps80.0% RAIL

Performance

NILRAIL

  1. 7 days-30.56%-12.20%RAIL
  2. 30 days-27.96%+3.85%RAIL
  3. 90 days+88.43%——
  4. 1 year-64.34%——

Correlation

0.65over 57 shared trading days

−1 opposite0 unrelated+1 in step
7d: insufficient data30d: 0.8190d: insufficient data1y: insufficient data

Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.

Risk & extremes

MetricNILRAIL
Max drawdown (400d)-92.3%-26.3%
Risk-adjusted return (90d)0.440.32
Best 30 days (past year)+180.3%—
Worst 30 days (past year)-75.8%—

Relative strength over 90 days: RAIL outperformed NIL by 13.4% — measured on the NIL/RAIL ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.