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Official Saudi Oil Reserve vs Official Trump

Official Trump (TRUMP) is 33711.2× the size of Official Saudi Oil Reserve (OSOR) by market capitalisation. Their daily returns move barely together (correlation 0.08 across 35 shared trading days). Both have run at a similar volatility, around 99% annualised.

Correlation
0.08
Size ratio
1 : 33711.2
Official Saudi Oil ReserveOSOR

$1.012e-5

24h
-2.75%
Market cap
$10,123
Volume 24h
$11
Volatility (ann.)
101%
Official TrumpTRUMP

$1.2100

24h
-6.92%
Market cap
$341.24M
Volume 24h
$339.70M
Volatility (ann.)
97%
OSOR 0.0%Share of the two combined market caps100.0% TRUMP

Performance

OSORTRUMP

  1. 7 days-4.98%-26.50%OSOR
  2. 30 days+1.73%-38.26%OSOR
  3. 90 days—-14.25%—
  4. 1 year—-81.75%—

Correlation

0.08over 35 shared trading days

−1 opposite0 unrelated+1 in step
7d: insufficient data30d: 0.5390d: insufficient data1y: insufficient data

Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.

Risk & extremes

MetricOSORTRUMP
Max drawdown (400d)-31.4%-85.7%
Risk-adjusted return (90d)-0.30-0.11
Best 30 days (past year)—+87.1%
Worst 30 days (past year)—-42.0%

Relative strength over 90 days: OSOR outperformed TRUMP by 13.2% — measured on the OSOR/TRUMP ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.