Arweave (AR) is 25.2× the size of Orchid Protocol (OXT) by market capitalisation. Their daily returns move loosely together (correlation 0.58 across 224 shared trading days). AR has been the more volatile of the two, at 119% annualised against OXT's 88%.
OXTAR
0.58over 224 shared trading days
Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.
| Metric | OXT | AR |
|---|---|---|
| Max drawdown (400d) | -83.7% | -80.7% |
| Risk-adjusted return (90d) | -0.53 | 0.58 |
| Best 30 days (past year) | — | +124.8% |
| Worst 30 days (past year) | — | -53.3% |
Relative strength over 90 days: AR outperformed OXT by 72.0% — measured on the OXT/AR ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.