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Overlay Protocol vs Derive

Derive (DRV) is 1212.1× the size of Overlay Protocol (OVL) by market capitalisation. Their daily returns move loosely in opposite directions (correlation -0.39 across 45 shared trading days). DRV has been the more volatile of the two, at 590% annualised against OVL's 195%.

Correlation
-0.39
Size ratio
1 : 1212.1
Overlay ProtocolOVL

$0.005695

24h
+1.37%
Market cap
$323,442
Volume 24h
$103
Volatility (ann.)
195%
DeriveDRV

$0.369079

24h
+14.78%
Market cap
$392.06M
Volume 24h
$21.00M
Volatility (ann.)
590%
OVL 0.1%Share of the two combined market caps99.9% DRV

Performance

OVLDRV

  1. 7 days-2.00%-8.10%OVL
  2. 30 days-8.32%+136.49%DRV
  3. 90 days-24.73%——
  4. 1 year-95.42%——

Correlation

-0.39over 45 shared trading days

−1 opposite0 unrelated+1 in step
7d: insufficient data30d: -0.5590d: insufficient data1y: insufficient data

Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.

Risk & extremes

MetricOVLDRV
Max drawdown (400d)-97.4%-32.6%
Risk-adjusted return (90d)-0.610.45
Best 30 days (past year)+231.1%—
Worst 30 days (past year)-67.8%—

Relative strength over 90 days: DRV outperformed OVL by 75.4% — measured on the OVL/DRV ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.