Rain (RAIN) is 33292.9× the size of Polkamarkets (POLK) by market capitalisation. Their daily returns move barely together (correlation 0.15 across 46 shared trading days). RAIN has been the more volatile of the two, at 135% annualised against POLK's 114%.
POLKRAIN
0.15over 46 shared trading days
Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.
| Metric | POLK | RAIN |
|---|---|---|
| Max drawdown (400d) | -91.8% | -69.3% |
| Risk-adjusted return (90d) | -0.38 | -0.40 |
| Best 30 days (past year) | +92.7% | — |
| Worst 30 days (past year) | -68.5% | — |
Relative strength over 90 days: POLK outperformed RAIN by 14.0% — measured on the POLK/RAIN ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.