Flipr.bet (FLIPR) is 2.4× the size of Polyfactual (POLYFACTS) by market capitalisation. Their daily returns move barely together (correlation 0.22 across 36 shared trading days). POLYFACTS has been the more volatile of the two, at 226% annualised against FLIPR's 72%.
POLYFACTSFLIPR
0.22over 36 shared trading days
Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.
| Metric | POLYFACTS | FLIPR |
|---|---|---|
| Max drawdown (400d) | -90.9% | -25.5% |
| Risk-adjusted return (90d) | -0.28 | -0.20 |
Relative strength over 90 days: FLIPR outperformed POLYFACTS by 47.2% — measured on the POLYFACTS/FLIPR ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.