BTC$78,720.84▼ 0.32%ETH$2,356.72▲ 1.20%USDT$0.9996▲ 0.05%BNB$705.37▼ 0.06%XRP$1.28▼ 1.05%USDC$1.00▲ 0.03%SOL$93.56▼ 0.08%TRX$0.3180▼ 0.38%FIGR_HELOC$1.04▲ 1.33%ZEC$1,279.16▼ 1.96%HYPE$80.48▼ 6.09%XMR$118.70▼ 1.34%DOGE$0.0747▼ 1.31%USDS$1.00▲ 0.01%WBT$76.30▲ 0.18%LINK$11.22▼ 0.52%LEO$9.35▲ 0.27%ADA$0.1914▼ 0.24%BCH$285.50▲ 3.42%XLM$0.1609▼ 2.62%NEAR$3.89▼ 4.86%DAI$1.00▲ 0.02%USDE$0.9999▲ 0.01%UNI$7.19▼ 2.91%LTC$54.32▼ 2.08%RAIN$0.005857▼ 3.70%CC$0.0980▼ 1.08%AVAX$8.58▼ 2.20%SUI$0.8911▼ 2.22%USD1$0.9995▼ 0.00%XAUT$4,090.97▲ 1.51%GRAM$1.12▼ 4.65%HBAR$0.0700▼ 3.30%QNT$199.98▼ 1.56%USDG$1.00▲ 0.02%SHIB$0.000005▼ 0.79%PYUSD$1.00▲ 0.01%TAO$227.50▼ 1.76%RLUSD$1.00▲ 0.03%CRO$0.0507▼ 1.22%BTC$78,720.84▼ 0.32%ETH$2,356.72▲ 1.20%USDT$0.9996▲ 0.05%BNB$705.37▼ 0.06%XRP$1.28▼ 1.05%USDC$1.00▲ 0.03%SOL$93.56▼ 0.08%TRX$0.3180▼ 0.38%FIGR_HELOC$1.04▲ 1.33%ZEC$1,279.16▼ 1.96%HYPE$80.48▼ 6.09%XMR$118.70▼ 1.34%DOGE$0.0747▼ 1.31%USDS$1.00▲ 0.01%WBT$76.30▲ 0.18%LINK$11.22▼ 0.52%LEO$9.35▲ 0.27%ADA$0.1914▼ 0.24%BCH$285.50▲ 3.42%XLM$0.1609▼ 2.62%NEAR$3.89▼ 4.86%DAI$1.00▲ 0.02%USDE$0.9999▲ 0.01%UNI$7.19▼ 2.91%LTC$54.32▼ 2.08%RAIN$0.005857▼ 3.70%CC$0.0980▼ 1.08%AVAX$8.58▼ 2.20%SUI$0.8911▼ 2.22%USD1$0.9995▼ 0.00%XAUT$4,090.97▲ 1.51%GRAM$1.12▼ 4.65%HBAR$0.0700▼ 3.30%QNT$199.98▼ 1.56%USDG$1.00▲ 0.02%SHIB$0.000005▼ 0.79%PYUSD$1.00▲ 0.01%TAO$227.50▼ 1.76%RLUSD$1.00▲ 0.03%CRO$0.0507▼ 1.22%

Polyfactual vs Rain

Rain (RAIN) is 73527.8× the size of Polyfactual (POLYFACTS) by market capitalisation. Their daily returns move barely together (correlation 0.20 across 40 shared trading days). POLYFACTS has been the more volatile of the two, at 226% annualised against RAIN's 135%.

Correlation
0.20
Size ratio
1 : 73527.8
PolyfactualPOLYFACTS

$5.692e-5

24h
+4.63%
Market cap
$56,911
Volume 24h
$264
Volatility (ann.)
226%
RainRAIN

$0.005857

24h
-3.70%
Market cap
$4.18B
Volume 24h
$13.20M
Volatility (ann.)
135%
POLYFACTS 0.0%Share of the two combined market caps100.0% RAIN

Performance

POLYFACTSRAIN

  1. 7 days-38.95%-11.68%RAIN
  2. 30 days-45.10%-60.96%POLYFACTS
  3. 90 days-70.01%——

Correlation

0.20over 40 shared trading days

−1 opposite0 unrelated+1 in step
7d: insufficient data30d: 0.2090d: insufficient data1y: insufficient data

Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.

Risk & extremes

MetricPOLYFACTSRAIN
Max drawdown (400d)-90.9%-69.3%
Risk-adjusted return (90d)-0.28-0.40

Relative strength over 90 days: POLYFACTS outperformed RAIN by 13.2% — measured on the POLYFACTS/RAIN ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.