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Polyfactual vs Shuffle

Shuffle (SHFL) is 3291.2× the size of Polyfactual (POLYFACTS) by market capitalisation. Their daily returns move loosely together (correlation 0.35 across 40 shared trading days). POLYFACTS has been the more volatile of the two, at 226% annualised against SHFL's 171%.

Correlation
0.35
Size ratio
1 : 3291.2
PolyfactualPOLYFACTS

$5.692e-5

24h
+4.63%
Market cap
$56,911
Volume 24h
$264
Volatility (ann.)
226%
ShuffleSHFL

$0.373717

24h
-2.52%
Market cap
$187.31M
Volume 24h
$707,243
Volatility (ann.)
171%
POLYFACTS 0.0%Share of the two combined market caps100.0% SHFL

Performance

POLYFACTSSHFL

  1. 7 days-38.95%-21.31%SHFL
  2. 30 days-45.10%+22.13%SHFL
  3. 90 days-70.01%——

Correlation

0.35over 40 shared trading days

−1 opposite0 unrelated+1 in step
7d: insufficient data30d: 0.3890d: insufficient data1y: insufficient data

Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.

Risk & extremes

MetricPOLYFACTSSHFL
Max drawdown (400d)-90.9%-41.4%
Risk-adjusted return (90d)-0.280.18

Relative strength over 90 days: SHFL outperformed POLYFACTS by 63.1% — measured on the POLYFACTS/SHFL ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.