Shentu (CTK) is 1.9× the size of PolySwarm (NCT) by market capitalisation. Their daily returns move barely together (correlation 0.30 across 40 shared trading days). Both have run at a similar volatility, around 72% annualised.
NCTCTK
0.30over 40 shared trading days
Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.
| Metric | NCT | CTK |
|---|---|---|
| Max drawdown (400d) | -45.0% | -77.5% |
| Risk-adjusted return (90d) | -0.51 | -0.14 |
| Best 30 days (past year) | — | +29.5% |
| Worst 30 days (past year) | — | -38.9% |
Relative strength over 90 days: CTK outperformed NCT by 19.6% — measured on the NCT/CTK ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.