Official Trump (TRUMP) is 11660.5× the size of Running Away Balloon (BALLOON) by market capitalisation. Their daily returns move barely together (correlation 0.28 across 40 shared trading days). BALLOON has been the more volatile of the two, at 500% annualised against TRUMP's 98%.
BALLOONTRUMP
0.28over 40 shared trading days
Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.
| Metric | BALLOON | TRUMP |
|---|---|---|
| Max drawdown (400d) | -80.6% | -86.7% |
| Risk-adjusted return (90d) | -0.13 | -0.16 |
| Best 30 days (past year) | — | +87.1% |
| Worst 30 days (past year) | — | -42.0% |
Relative strength over 90 days: TRUMP outperformed BALLOON by 28.9% — measured on the BALLOON/TRUMP ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.