Pudgy Penguins (PENGU) is 35085.3× the size of Russian Oil Asset Fund (ROAF) by market capitalisation. Their daily returns move barely in opposite directions (correlation -0.16 across 28 shared trading days). PENGU has been the more volatile of the two, at 104% annualised against ROAF's 2%.
ROAFPENGU
-0.16over 28 shared trading days
Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.
| Metric | ROAF | PENGU |
|---|---|---|
| Max drawdown (400d) | -1.5% | -82.4% |
| Risk-adjusted return (90d) | -0.62 | 0.21 |
| Best 30 days (past year) | — | +74.9% |
| Worst 30 days (past year) | — | -55.1% |
Relative strength over 90 days: ROAF outperformed PENGU by 27.7% — measured on the ROAF/PENGU ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.