SIBYL vs OriginTrail

OriginTrail (TRAC) is 313.7× the size of SIBYL (SIBYL) by market capitalisation. Over the past 30 days, TRAC is ahead by 30.5 percentage points (SIBYL -25.8% against TRAC +4.7%). Their daily returns move loosely together (correlation 0.46 across 31 shared trading days). SIBYL has been the more volatile of the two, at 358% annualised against TRAC's 104%.

Correlation: 0.46
Size ratio: 1 : 313.7
Ahead over 30 days: TRAC

SIBYLSIBYL

$0.000788

24h: -2.40%
Market cap: $496,247
Volume 24h: $2,666
Volatility (ann.): 358%

OriginTrailTRAC

$0.348016

24h: +4.20%
Market cap: $155.66M
Volume 24h: $1.54M
Volatility (ann.): 104%

SIBYL 0.3%Share of the two combined market caps99.7% TRAC

Performance

SIBYLTRAC

7 days-11.96%-7.03%TRAC
30 days-25.82%+4.69%TRAC

Correlation

0.46over 31 shared trading days

−1 opposite0 unrelated+1 in step

7d: insufficient data30d: 0.4690d: insufficient data1y: insufficient data

Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.

Risk & extremes

Metric	SIBYL	TRAC
Max drawdown (400d)	-74.8%	-22.2%
Risk-adjusted return (90d)	-0.12	0.29

Relative strength over 90 days: TRAC outperformed SIBYL by 42.4% — measured on the SIBYL/TRAC ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.

SIBYL →OriginTrail →