Spectre AI vs OriginTrail

OriginTrail (TRAC) is 19.2× the size of Spectre AI (SPECTRE) by market capitalisation. Over the past 30 days, SPECTRE is ahead by 102.4 percentage points (SPECTRE +107.1% against TRAC +4.7%). Their daily returns move closely together (correlation 0.74 across 33 shared trading days). SPECTRE has been the more volatile of the two, at 211% annualised against TRAC's 104%.

Correlation: 0.74
Size ratio: 1 : 19.2
Ahead over 30 days: SPECTRE

Spectre AISPECTRE

$0.780878

24h: -8.50%
Market cap: $7.80M
Volume 24h: $18,961
Volatility (ann.): 211%

OriginTrailTRAC

$0.335368

24h: +0.53%
Market cap: $150.00M
Volume 24h: $1.78M
Volatility (ann.): 104%

SPECTRE 4.9%Share of the two combined market caps95.1% TRAC

Performance

SPECTRETRAC

7 days-22.80%-7.03%TRAC
30 days+107.09%+4.69%SPECTRE

Correlation

0.74over 33 shared trading days

−1 opposite0 unrelated+1 in step

7d: insufficient data30d: 0.7390d: insufficient data1y: insufficient data

Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.

Risk & extremes

Metric	SPECTRE	TRAC
Max drawdown (400d)	-33.4%	-22.2%
Risk-adjusted return (90d)	0.41	0.29

Relative strength over 90 days: SPECTRE outperformed TRAC by 87.8% — measured on the SPECTRE/TRAC ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.

Spectre AI →OriginTrail →