Toshi (TOSHI) is 7163.7× the size of Speculation (SPECU) by market capitalisation. Their daily returns move barely together (correlation 0.35 across 22 shared trading days). SPECU has been the more volatile of the two, at 95% annualised against TOSHI's 82%.
SPECUTOSHI
0.35over 22 shared trading days
Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.
| Metric | SPECU | TOSHI |
|---|---|---|
| Max drawdown (400d) | -77.1% | -24.2% |
| Risk-adjusted return (90d) | -0.50 | -0.08 |
Relative strength over 90 days: TOSHI outperformed SPECU by 35.7% — measured on the SPECU/TOSHI ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.