Super El Niño (ELNIÑO) and FLOAT (FLOAT) compared side by side. Their daily returns move barely together (correlation 0.19 across 22 shared trading days). FLOAT has been the more volatile of the two, at 2474672% annualised against ELNIÑO's 279%.
ELNIÑOFLOAT
0.19over 22 shared trading days
Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.
| Metric | ELNIÑO | FLOAT |
|---|---|---|
| Max drawdown (400d) | -61.3% | -100.0% |
| Risk-adjusted return (90d) | -0.20 | 0.17 |
Relative strength over 90 days: FLOAT outperformed ELNIÑO by 100.0% — measured on the ELNIÑO/FLOAT ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.