SwarmBase (SWARM) and Bitcoin (BTC) compared side by side. Their daily returns move barely in opposite directions (correlation -0.09 across 26 shared trading days). SWARM has been the more volatile of the two, at 83% annualised against BTC's 44%.
SWARMBTC
-0.09over 26 shared trading days
Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.
| Metric | SWARM | BTC |
|---|---|---|
| Max drawdown (400d) | -25.9% | -53.0% |
| Risk-adjusted return (90d) | -0.27 | 0.51 |
| Best 30 days (past year) | — | +26.8% |
| Worst 30 days (past year) | — | -32.9% |
Relative strength over 90 days: BTC outperformed SWARM by 14.7% — measured on the SWARM/BTC ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.