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Swell vs Puffer

Puffer (PUFFER) is 5.0× the size of Swell (SWELL) by market capitalisation. Over the past 1 year, PUFFER is ahead by 8.2 percentage points (SWELL -92.5% against PUFFER -84.3%). Their daily returns move barely together (correlation 0.29 across 371 shared trading days). Both have run at a similar volatility, around 134% annualised.

Correlation
0.29
Size ratio
1 : 5.0
Ahead over 1 year
PUFFER
SwellSWELL

$0.000636

24h
+2.17%
Market cap
$3.32M
Volume 24h
$1.85M
Volatility (ann.)
140%
PufferPUFFER

$0.028831

24h
+2.52%
Market cap
$16.57M
Volume 24h
$8.21M
Volatility (ann.)
127%
SWELL 16.7%Share of the two combined market caps83.3% PUFFER

Performance

SWELLPUFFER

  1. 7 days-10.28%+3.21%PUFFER
  2. 30 days-14.45%+67.92%PUFFER
  3. 90 days-10.57%+92.75%PUFFER
  4. 1 year-92.47%-84.32%PUFFER

Correlation

0.29over 371 shared trading days

−1 opposite0 unrelated+1 in step
7d: insufficient data30d: 0.2490d: 0.261y: 0.29

Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.

Risk & extremes

MetricSWELLPUFFER
Max drawdown (400d)-93.6%-93.6%
Risk-adjusted return (90d)-0.080.68
Best 30 days (past year)+64.4%+142.9%
Worst 30 days (past year)-60.0%-50.8%

Relative strength over 90 days: PUFFER outperformed SWELL by 53.4% — measured on the SWELL/PUFFER ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.