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UMA vs Synthetix

Synthetix (SNX) is 3.2× the size of UMA (UMA) by market capitalisation. Over the past 1 year, UMA is ahead by 15.0 percentage points (UMA -65.3% against SNX -80.3%). Their daily returns move loosely together (correlation 0.57 across 399 shared trading days). SNX has been the more volatile of the two, at 123% annualised against UMA's 79%.

Correlation
0.57
Size ratio
1 : 3.2
Ahead over 1 year
UMA
UMAUMA

$0.347000

24h
+1.63%
Market cap
$32.29M
Volume 24h
$1.87M
Volatility (ann.)
79%
SynthetixSNX

$0.179200

24h
+2.05%
Market cap
$104.44M
Volume 24h
$3.67M
Volatility (ann.)
123%
UMA 23.6%Share of the two combined market caps76.4% SNX

Performance

UMASNX

  1. 7 days-2.56%-11.96%UMA
  2. 30 days-15.10%-30.43%UMA
  3. 90 days+2.08%-17.10%UMA
  4. 1 year-65.28%-80.31%UMA

Correlation

0.57over 399 shared trading days

−1 opposite0 unrelated+1 in step
7d: insufficient data30d: 0.7890d: 0.821y: 0.59

Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.

Risk & extremes

MetricUMASNX
Max drawdown (400d)-75.0%-92.3%
Risk-adjusted return (90d)0.03-0.26
Best 30 days (past year)+31.3%+26.6%
Worst 30 days (past year)-42.2%-47.8%

Relative strength over 90 days: UMA outperformed SNX by 23.1% — measured on the UMA/SNX ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.