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Wormhole vs Aave

Aave (AAVE) is 26.9× the size of Wormhole (W) by market capitalisation. Over the past 1 year, AAVE is ahead by 44.3 percentage points (W -80.6% against AAVE -36.3%). Their daily returns move closely together (correlation 0.62 across 399 shared trading days). Both have run at a similar volatility, around 94% annualised.

Correlation
0.62
Size ratio
1 : 26.9
Ahead over 1 year
AAVE
WormholeW

$0.011200

24h
+2.28%
Market cap
$75.06M
Volume 24h
$13.61M
Volatility (ann.)
100%
AaveAAVE

$131.0600

24h
+2.40%
Market cap
$2.02B
Volume 24h
$248.53M
Volatility (ann.)
87%
W 3.6%Share of the two combined market caps96.4% AAVE

Performance

WAAVE

  1. 7 days-14.34%-5.02%AAVE
  2. 30 days-24.36%-29.06%W
  3. 90 days+31.93%+41.47%AAVE
  4. 1 year-80.62%-36.35%AAVE

Correlation

0.62over 399 shared trading days

−1 opposite0 unrelated+1 in step
7d: insufficient data30d: 0.4690d: 0.461y: 0.58

Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.

Risk & extremes

MetricWAAVE
Max drawdown (400d)-94.0%-79.5%
Risk-adjusted return (90d)0.280.46
Best 30 days (past year)+129.8%+56.3%
Worst 30 days (past year)-52.1%-42.7%

Relative strength over 90 days: AAVE outperformed W by 6.7% — measured on the W/AAVE ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.