Pump.fun (PUMP) is 15503.4× the size of Bitcoin20 (BTC20) by market capitalisation. Their daily returns move barely together (correlation 0.22 across 26 shared trading days). Both have run at a similar volatility, around 125% annualised.
BTC20PUMP
0.22over 26 shared trading days
Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.
| Metric | BTC20 | PUMP |
|---|---|---|
| Max drawdown (400d) | -48.4% | -83.1% |
| Risk-adjusted return (90d) | -0.39 | 0.53 |
| Best 30 days (past year) | — | +185.0% |
| Worst 30 days (past year) | — | -43.2% |
Relative strength over 90 days: PUMP outperformed BTC20 by 27.8% — measured on the BTC20/PUMP ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.