Pump.fun (PUMP) is 35548.2× the size of Exit Liquidity (RETAIL) by market capitalisation. Their daily returns move loosely in opposite directions (correlation -0.45 across 25 shared trading days). RETAIL has been the more volatile of the two, at 221% annualised against PUMP's 127%.
RETAILPUMP
-0.45over 25 shared trading days
Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.
| Metric | RETAIL | PUMP |
|---|---|---|
| Max drawdown (400d) | -71.9% | -83.1% |
| Risk-adjusted return (90d) | -0.28 | 0.53 |
| Best 30 days (past year) | — | +185.0% |
| Worst 30 days (past year) | — | -43.2% |
Relative strength over 90 days: PUMP outperformed RETAIL by 48.6% — measured on the RETAIL/PUMP ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.