Pump.fun (PUMP) is 6131.4× the size of Smiley Coin (SMILEY) by market capitalisation. Their daily returns move barely together (correlation 0.29 across 35 shared trading days). PUMP has been the more volatile of the two, at 127% annualised against SMILEY's 34%.
SMILEYPUMP
0.29over 35 shared trading days
Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.
| Metric | SMILEY | PUMP |
|---|---|---|
| Max drawdown (400d) | -19.4% | -83.1% |
| Risk-adjusted return (90d) | -0.43 | 0.53 |
| Best 30 days (past year) | — | +185.0% |
| Worst 30 days (past year) | — | -43.2% |
Relative strength over 90 days: SMILEY outperformed PUMP by 16.8% — measured on the SMILEY/PUMP ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.