Pump.fun (PUMP) is 5271.1× the size of Toad Killer ($TOAD) by market capitalisation. Their daily returns move barely together (correlation 0.15 across 34 shared trading days). PUMP has been the more volatile of the two, at 127% annualised against $TOAD's 43%.
$TOADPUMP
0.15over 34 shared trading days
Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.
| Metric | $TOAD | PUMP |
|---|---|---|
| Max drawdown (400d) | -23.5% | -83.1% |
| Risk-adjusted return (90d) | -0.38 | 0.53 |
| Best 30 days (past year) | — | +185.0% |
| Worst 30 days (past year) | — | -43.2% |
Relative strength over 90 days: $TOAD outperformed PUMP by 14.7% — measured on the $TOAD/PUMP ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.