Pump.fun (PUMP) is 22296.8× the size of Tom Coin (TMC) by market capitalisation. Their daily returns move barely together (correlation 0.12 across 27 shared trading days). PUMP has been the more volatile of the two, at 127% annualised against TMC's 42%.
TMCPUMP
0.12over 27 shared trading days
Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.
| Metric | TMC | PUMP |
|---|---|---|
| Max drawdown (400d) | -11.4% | -83.1% |
| Risk-adjusted return (90d) | -0.22 | 0.53 |
| Best 30 days (past year) | — | +185.0% |
| Worst 30 days (past year) | — | -43.2% |
Relative strength over 90 days: TMC outperformed PUMP by 24.2% — measured on the TMC/PUMP ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.