Pump.fun (PUMP) is 728380.5× the size of UnitedStates National Debt Coin (USNDC) by market capitalisation. Their daily returns move loosely together (correlation 0.57 across 67 shared trading days). Both have run at a similar volatility, around 135% annualised.
USNDCPUMP
0.57over 67 shared trading days
Measured on daily returns rather than on prices. Two assets that both simply trend upward score near 1.0 on raw prices whether or not they move together, so returns are what answer the question people mean by correlation.
| Metric | USNDC | PUMP |
|---|---|---|
| Max drawdown (400d) | -77.6% | -83.1% |
| Risk-adjusted return (90d) | -0.51 | 0.53 |
| Best 30 days (past year) | — | +185.0% |
| Worst 30 days (past year) | — | -43.2% |
Relative strength over 90 days: PUMP outperformed USNDC by 49.6% — measured on the USNDC/PUMP ratio, so it holds regardless of market direction.